Friday, 17 March 2017

The Danger of Excessive Debt Levels





When an economy overly depends on consumption to power growth, it leads to problems, in contrast to utilising investment in infrastructure, spending on education and creating actual value.   Consumer, corporate and government driven expenditures are increasingly powered by debt instead of the real ability to pay for them. 


Ireland has reportedly a national debt of 179 per cent of its GDP. This is an economy where foreign companies can borrow via their Irish subsidiaries.   China's national debt is fuelled by real estate purchases and shadow banking credit.    Debt was used as a tool to fund government stimulus in recent years in the USA.    In stark contrast, Saudi still has zero national debt, despite low petroleum prices.

Increasingly, corporate debt from high tax nations have moved to places like Singapore, the Cayman Islands, the Netherlands and Ireland. Emerging markets do offer higher returns than mature economies as well. 


Corporates have also increased their debts in a very low interest cost environment.    Many borrow from the unregulated shadow banking sector, including the plethora of money market funds, hedge vehicles and asset managers.    The resulting borrowed money is kept more in investor pockets than used in Research and Development or other productive purposes.    It is reported the borrowed funds are also significantly used in share buybacks to sustain higher share prices and executive performance bonuses. 


The result is that the wealthy get richer, employees do not see much wage rises and higher corporate debt heightens the corporate financial risk profile. The mom and pop investor together with pension or superannuation funds end up with more risky debt markets and share counters. 

Baby boomers now live longer than before are at an age that require higher health care and pension costs . This can add to national debt blowouts, especially in nations with a generous social security structure and having an entitlement mentality for beneficiaries. 


When high debt levels and inability to service debt on a timely basis undermine a country's credit standing, currency devaluation and further declines in ability to borrow more just to cover interest obligations can result.    However, currencies can be manipulated as there is nothing solid standing behind the so called value of a currency than the promise and reputation of a government.


Excessive debt levels can be the dark force in the fate of many countries in an increasing unstable world. 

Yarnsy's Cafe - Tarrawarna NSW






Jarris Shead and Thomas Bailey got their act together and in this new year have come up with an ambient and hipster venue for coffee and brunch.    Village like, inviting even from passing by and with a useful outdoor space in front, one feels like dropping by a mate's in a quiet suburb north of Wollongong city centre.   The local bus does drop by as well along meadow Street and you can do your chores near by after or before your cuppa - the post office, Criniti's veg and fruits, etc.   Yarnsy's is not far from the roundabout in Tarrawarna, where you may be familiar with the Dusk Cafe already.











I observe the extra effort with use of carefully thought of ingredients -  that captivating pomegranate, the whole sliced in half;  the colour of the beetroot smash, contrasting with the avocado wholesome green;  crushed nuts with texture on your palate;  marinade of meats;  the way the garnish is presented and comes on your plate; and the robust, daring cuppa from Toby Estate's blends.   Watercress, Papetas, art pieces, flower petals....they all add to a comfy blur of a good feeling.   



Mates and regulars gather on bigger tables outside, behind or in front of the counter.    People dropping by seem to know each other and feel relaxed coming in.    It can be compared to a house party, but a rather well behaved one.    If you come by your two spokes, there is so much choice in parking your transport wheels. 





















National Museum of China Beijing


















































Gorgeous Gu Lang Yu - Architecture and Ambiance











The reef surrounding Gu Lang Yu Isle gave the origins as to its classic Chinese name, which means "Drum Wave Island".  The nature of the reefs contributed to the shape of the rolling waves.    The island is reached by a  short ferry ride from Xiamen, taken from Heping for the local ferry, or from Dongdu for the so-called foreigner's or tourist ferry service.


   This  small island had played an important role in the relationships between the Western powers, particularly the United Kingdom, France and the United States of America, with a China still under dynastic Qing rule in the 19th century.  Its proximity to rich seafood sourcing grounds, valuable tea plantations in the hinterland of Fujian Province and the north side of the South China Sea seemed to have determined its history.   National hero Zheng  Cheng Gong ( or referred to as Koxinga by the West) stands out in local sentiment in defending the political, regional and military interests of the Ming Dynasty for southern China.  You can visit the Full Moon Garden on the isle and there is an impressive statue honouring him and his achievements for China.











The nearby city of Xiamen, becoming a treaty port for Western powers in the first half of the 19th century, had tremendous consequences for Gu Lang Yu.    Dynastic China was defeated in the First Opium War and this resulted in the unequal terms of the Treaty Of Nanking in 1842, beginning an epoch of national, military and cultural humility that resonates strongly even today in the Chinese psyche and mindset,  especially when dealing with world affairs.    Thirteen foreign nations, including Holland, Japan and France,  combined to exert its political authority on Gu Lang Yu becoming an international settlement - imagine that happening to the Isle of Wright or Nantucket Island.


The British took the leading involvement in transforming the isle, constructing Euro styled buildings that organised the town area of Gu Lang Yu.   This third largest island off the coast of Xiamen began to see transformation that had occurred to various other outposts of colonial power like in Penang, the Caribbean, Malta, Gilbratar, Colombo and Shanghai.  Hong Kong began new life as a British settlement in 1842.    From political colonisation came greater efforts in missionary work of the Protestant and Catholic Churches, evident in the 21st century on the isle - Xiamen historically is where Protestantism successfully first arrived in  China and embedded its influence.


















A delightful and surprising feature of Gu Lang Yu is the passion for pianos amongst its residents and it is estimated that there is a piano on the island for every 29 residents.    Most of them are rather old, originating from a strong taking up of the instrument in the first half of the 20th century.    Two of China's well known pianists, Xu Feiping and Yin Chengzong, hail from Gu Lang Yu.


I also observed wooden panelled guitars in shops.   Westernised music influences sat side by side with traditional music of the Hokkiens.  You can hunt for records from the Sixties and still enjoy a live rendition of the Pipa in a cosy hall with a stage assemble of experienced  musicians with their traditional Eastern instruments.   We did feel the silence of the ages at times in certain aspects of the island, particularly along the lanes that harked back to a religious past.   The rhythm of Nature can be felt on the breezy sandy shores of a beach.    















There are many young people curious enough to visit Gu Lang Yu.  If you ponder over the map of eastern Asia, this isle can be its geographical centre.    Millions of people with rising purchasing power levels and income live at its door step.   It has a relatively warm climate,  contemporary trading routes continue to thrive and its industrious people have contributed a great deal to the development of south-east Asia.   How the geopolitics between West and East play out can have repercussions to Gu Lang Yu and Xiamen.   Both places have witnessed the opportunities and pitfalls of a nation which historically have looked inwards,  balanced the challenges and benefits of rising Western powers coming to their shores and always reaffirmed themselves with the concept of a Chinese family. 


Gu Lang Yu may not be sited near the Great Wall to the north but intrinsically understands its vital role on the southern borders of a huge nation like China.










Shades of Spain, England, Holland, China, Japan, Portugal and Italy can be felt in the design and shape of the heritage buildings found around Gu Lang Yu.    The Portuguese first reached Xiamen,  itself an island, in 1541.  Some pre-date the British Victorian era, others are so obviously so.   We find ourselves walking around plazas reminiscent of Macau, Rome and Lisbon.     The isle is relatively clean, especially the grounds of heritage mansions, where you can dwell in enjoying the patterns of well laid out tiles, the angles of partitions, the frescoes that peek at you when you least expect them and in the airy corridors with porticos and balconies.


We found ourselves entering gardens, pavilions, doorways and staircases from another era.   The buildings are well preserved, having escaped the ravages of war time bombings, tropical cyclones and political events.    Visitors may fancy themselves caught in a time warp.   More than this, I also felt the vibes of a community and a village atmosphere.   For many across the world who are now caught in a rather unwelcoming city environment, Gu lang Yu reminds them that there is an alternative.  It is also a place where the past is appreciated better, the present is more balanced and the future, however, is dependent on others.















The Jinmen Islands, which are administered by Taiwan, lie only around six kilometres from Xiamen City.   Xiamen itself was known by other names, notably Amoy , and also in the 17th century as Siming or Remembering the Ming  (Dynasty).    


Will Gu Lang Yu continue to play a significant part in the affairs of mankind in the future?   I do not see any current digital push in its pulse, but China as a nation is transforming in leaps and bounds.  What other industry can Gu Lang Yu see itself as it leaps into the 21st century   - for now revenues are earned mainly on tourism and a hark for the past.   Its future is definitely tied in inevitably with the role of Xiamen, which has three reputable universities,  a full fledged airline and a solid cultural base.














We did not make it to Sunlight Rock  or the nearby Shuzhuang Chinese Gardens. Attribute this to the rainy aspect that day, or we had almost run out of steam walking around the various sights on an unusually interesting isle.    Gu Lang Yu is under two square kilometres in size and has a heart that is so much bigger that leaves good memories for its visitors.   The island is also extraordinary in banning vehicular traffic, only allowing electric run buggies to run on its cobbled stoned lanes and otherwise tarred roads.


A day's visit to Gu Lang Yu does not do it justice in appreciating what it can offer.   The wealth of culture, history and lifestyle on the island at times do require soaking in a few days of stay.   Just the seafood makes me want to linger further.   Most of all is the pleasure to interact with people, whether they may be tourists, residents or working there.   It is worth having a guide with knowledge and passion like we were fortunate to have - Ms. Khaw.  








Tuesday, 14 March 2017

Walks around Wu Yi Shan

Da Hong Pao or the Big Red Robe Oolong tea is served as samples during the Impressions Show at Wu Yi Shan Town, Fujian.    Also known as the tea picking Opera, it displays many elements of Hakka arts and culture as well.





It is  a forest, a mountain, a refuge, a place of religious practice and a setting befitting the tale of Beauty and the Beast.   The air is a rare clean and fresh, like a gem of change from populated areas.   Alas, there is no fairy tale half-human Beast, but there is beauty, captivating and calm.    The rock formations are splendid, bold and old  - there are several dome or columnar shaped pillars, formally referred to as Danxia.  Volcanic activity long ago formed this contemporary landscape.   



We embraced what truly the five elements in Chinese philosophy  emphasised - Earth, Water, Fire, Metal and Wood.   We felt close to Mother Earth; we soaked in her waters;  we realised how fire moved mountains and provided warmth; we harnessed the use of metal, in our coaches, trains and other transport; and we saw the link between wood and where it all came from.






Chinese Gooseberries or the Kiwi Fruits.





The people work below the high places and some plant tea up the hills and cliff sides.   A river ride reminds me of the Lord of the Rings.    We walked and climbed till we tired out, feeling the body breathe better at night and with our leg muscles having the opportunity to restore and regrow.    And to reach this dimension, we were seated on a high speed train from Xiamen North, that sort of carpeted us comfortably from the plains and coast, just three hours utilising latest modern transport technology, instead of taking over ten hours by road. 



Western tales aside, the region also has its own legends -  especially one tells of a struggling scholar, drinking excellent tea and using his robe to protect a much valued tea variety, the Da Hong Pao.   In the past, this region was a favourite of retired or past court officials, who were taken by its surroundings and ambiance after a life in hectic and dangerous political circles.














The fauna in Wu Yi Shan remains mostly hidden, for sightings can be rare and on balance, perhaps better for the ecological and strategic survival of these mammals, insects and fish.   We may have walked across the Pope's Spiny Toad, but fortunately not the Colubridae Bamboo snake.   We would have been excited over seeing a goat antelope species called the Sumatran Serow and a black-backed Pheasant of the Chinese variety.     There were butterflies in our bush walks  (hopefully the Swallowtail variety called the Golden Kaiser-i-Hind).


There are endangered species of Clouded Leopards, hairy fronted Muntjac, South China Tiger or the Panthera Tigris Amoyensis and the North China Leopard.    What I was looking forward to identify was David's Parrotbill but may be in reality, I was looking more to my steps up the rock stairs.
















Straddling across two prefectures and two provinces in south eastern China, the Wu Yi Shan area is shared by Nanping Perfecture in Fujian and Shangrao City in Jiangxi Province.
We had the opportunity to stay in Wu YI Shan city of the Fujian side.    With almost a hundred thousand hectares, the region is a UNESCO World Heritage Biosphere and Culture site that would appeal to the physically active, those wanting a temporary escape from urbanity and individuals who strongly bond with Nature.   The high mountainous area is part of the Cathaysian geological fold system.   Westerners used to refer to this region as the Bo Hea hills.


This is how we made sense of the large area  - the River with Nine Bends, the Cliffs with Western Han Dynasty archaeological importance, the National Scenic Area and the National Reserve Area.   Wu Yi Shan is the best representation of China's sub-tropical forests and has the most such biological diversity in one area in the whole of China.   The rocks are Karst limestone, but how spectacular they are!




The Da Hong Pao tea plantations.





The reputation of  the Da Hong Pao preceded our visit - and it has been for hundreds of years.    Depending on who has informed you, the price per kilogram of this rich, bold and stand out flavour tea variety can range for 1000 to a million US Dollars.    In the cold, single digit temperatures, even a sampling of such tea in a lower quality in a restaurant made me notice - it was no ordinary black Oolong and spoke of the rich volcanic soil and high altitude climate that nurtured its growth.   


When my mates and I reached the peak of a trail in a plantation that grew such tea, we noticed how few bushes there were and how carefully they were taken care of.    The tea bushes were nestled amongst cliff sides, fresh steams and a refreshing climate.   It was raining constantly when we braved the climb but we were well rewarded at the top with this opportunity to embrace the best of Nature.    I was reminded of when reaching certain locales, like a temple in the forest or a hidden waterfall in a valley, of the extraordinary vibes that all our personal senses fully relish   - it is really like there is something in the air.


The Wu Yi Shan region is sandwiched by inland mountains and the coastal plains bordering the South China Sea, so it has a wet, rainy and cool climate.   Many of these tea bushes go back a long way   -   Iron Arhat, Golden Turtle and White Cockscomb.   


Another primary tea variety cultivated here is the Lapsang Souchong - a native of Wu Yi Shan, known in Mandarin as the Zheng Shan Xiao Zhong.   It could be the first black tea in history.  


The tea leaves here are smoked in a basket (called the Hong Long) over pinewood fires, originating from a military occupation practice during the Manchu Qing Dynasty.   The fourth or fifth pick of tea leaves are used here, not the better quality first picks.   This explains the need to enhance the aroma of such leaves by smoking them.    Winston Churchill famously described this tea as "Mountains and Rivers Without End" and is perhaps the most favoured tea variety by Westerners.













With tea, come tea eggs!   This fond Chinese practice of flavouring and infusing subtle flavours like tea on to hard boiled eggs can produce a light savoury and yet sweet experience for the palate.    The Taiwanese are also fond of roasting ducks with tea leaves, although I did not see much of this in Wu Yi Shan town in Fujian.  


Tea drinking can be ritualised in East Asia.   The first cup drawn is to marry the water you choose to use with the  tea leaves.   You then release the primary flavour of the tea when you prepare a second cup.   The unique soul and essence of the specific tea variety you use then comes forth with a subsequent cup.   The process of preparing tea in Wu Yi Shan is labelled making Gong Fu tea.   There are other important and subtle aspects of the tea preparation and drinking ceremony like the posture, the facial concentrations, the angle of the serve and more. 


This culture of tea drinking is reinforced with other aspects of culture here in the monasteries, farming fields and a bonding with a nature based lifestyle.













Archaeological research and evidence show remains back four thousand years in Wu Yi Shan.   The Wu Yi Palace was built here to conduct native ceremonies of sacrifice in the seventh century of the First Millennium.   The Minyue Kingdom had its capital nearby, in the ancient city of Chengcun, during the Western Han Dynasty.


When Buddhism embedded in present  day China, the philosophy and religious aspects were integrated in with the already significant presence of Taoism.   This remarkable social-religious transformation is echoed through various places of worship here like the Wannian Palace, Sanqing Hall, Tianxin Temple, the Taoyuan Temple, Baiyun Temple and the Tiancheng Temple.     Wu Yi Shan lists around sixty Taoist monasteries and places of worship plus  35 academies of learning from the Northern Song to the last dynasty, the Manchu Qing.





Steamed egg for dinner down town.




As autumn drew to a close and winter approached, the angle of light and the surroundings do vary from summer time.    


We found ourselves waiting at bus stops under low light.  We sought refuge from the rain in a rather Anglicised cafe, where the display of pastries and sandwiches befitted a contemporary cosmopolitan city area, but this was right some where in the reserve area.    I found new respect for the powers, ability and inherent nature of bamboo, from which poles were used and crafted into a river raft, by which the six of us took an hour long leisurely cruise along the River of Nine Bends.    We got over board with ordering KFC chicken in Wu Yi Shan Town in Fujian, when we arrived between meal hours and found ourselves hungry, with ten minutes to spare before a van driver took us to the reserve for the late afternoon.





I enjoyed cappuccino here, with tasty sandwich like snacks.




A rather interesting but understandable cultural requirement in Wu Yi Shan is the calling back to re-gather at a meal for married sisters and daughters on Leap Years.   The responsibility falls on the shoulders of parents and brothers of the female relatives.


We all are aware of the family reunions on Lunar  New Year Eve  dinners, but this one singles out female members of a family, who realistically in the past in China do not get to see their birth relations for many years once they get hitched.     It may not be the current scenario for many females in contemporary societies and in the cities, and modernisation has changed many old attitudes and practices.    Ask even an overseas Chinese a simple question of whom they visit first to pay respects and love on the morning of the first day of the Lunar New Year.   Is it the parents or the in-laws?   Is it the family who mixes more, or the family who has more wealth and influence?   Is the choice dictated by geographical proximity or  do they take turns?   What the parents of a young family actually do will influence the next generation.












Boat man on the rafting cruise along the River with Nine Bends.



Apart from cultivated tea,  the natural flora in the Wu Yi Shan hark back to the Ice Age.   Logically there are much of the coniferous forests, mixed or broad leaf;  evergreen varieties that add to the beauty of the scenery; meadow Steppe biological growth; brushwood; and thriving bamboo plants.


The closeness to Nature and agriculture of its people in the Wu Yi Shan can be illustrated by some practices like the Mountain Call and Mountain Open ceremonies.    Formal verbal urges for the tea bushes to continue to sprout and grow are essential components of such events.    





Entrance to cave trail leading to the Line in the Sky, an interesting crack of day light that comes through above you after you walk up a narrowing trail in the dark, inside a cave.




The Big Impressions extravaganza at Wu Yi Shan,  one of perhaps a dozen staged around significant tourist spots in China, but with different themes, was more than I expected.   


The audience was literally moved around a giant and long stage, with spectacular plays of light over you that one may otherwise expect from a fireworks display.   There is much use of technology and there is a cast of hundreds.  So there we were, seated at around five degrees Celsius, soaking in with fascination about the legend of a scholar, tea picking and harvesting and the life of the folks by the river and up in the mountains.    Lively singing accompanied the narration of gratefulness to Mother Earth for her blessings.


Boats sailed up a canal that just came alive for the show, projections of a flying horse were beamed across the real sky and I just could not figure out what was real and tangible from props and fleeting to the eye and heart.   One of the best scenes in this 90 minute performance held outdoors  was the tea leaf harvesting, pulsating with synchronised harmony and rhythm, amplifying countryside life and its various cycles.    Another scenario staged was the pole pushing of bamboo crafts across the river.    I often have the impression of China having so many people and doing things on a  big scale - and this Wu Yi Shan tea picking opera said it all!


A holiday does involve effort in planning, but there are also sweet memories of what we encounter once we actually visit the destination.   There was this brightly dressed woman, all by herself, standing on the shores of the River of Nine Bends.   There was this human bottleneck trying to get to watch the Line in the Sky, all and each jammed up close physically beside limestone rocks in a darkened cave.    There were steaming buns to start the day.   I saw the need for no use of petrol to move along the river, only human ingenuity and labour.   A hot pot meant more when the weather turned chilly outside.  Little plastic slip-ons for feet became so useful when you did not want your shoes overly soaked.






Karst limestone sights that make one ponder and awe about  - this one was what the boat man  especially pointed out to us.




Getting around to the key sites within the Wu Yi Shan is not that hard.   Visitors buy a multi-entry pass to the huge dedicated reserve and once you arrive at the entrance, you walk a short distance before jumping on to any of the medium sized coaches that can drop you at various key points for drop off.  


Robert Fortune was a colonial official in the late 1840s who reached Wu Yi Shan in the pursuit of commercial interests of the British East India Company to source tea plantations, varieties and flavours.    Robert disguised himself as a Mandarin and successfully broke the very important monopoly then held by China on tea production and exporting.   









The rest is history and continued to feed the frenzied demand for tea drinking in British social life.    Fortune resolved the serious issue of a trade imbalance that already occurred between China and a Western nation.


In the tradition of adventurers and colonists in the age of seeking trade, wealth and fortune,  many varieties of so-called native plants from around the world were uprooted to other lands (mostly other European controlled colonies) for cultivation - I can think of cocoa, rubber, chillies, oil palm, pepper and wheat.   






Rafting on the river with Nine Bends.

As Autumn Arrives

  As autumn supposedly has arrived in the southern parts of Australia,  flora is decelarating growth from their summer speeds.  I say "...