Singapore finds itself so vulnerable with the April 2025 Trumpian tariff moves.
Singapore is a society that even has to import basic things like food. The nation has prospered as a hub of trading, a broker of exchange, a strategic sea, air and technology port and churner of business.
With high tariffs, kicked off by Trump as only a starter of what he really wants, in this current upset in international relations, countries are varying in approaches and reactions to current Usa government moves. Some retaliate, others take it on the chin, many wake up from this jolt to the assumed benefits from the use of comparative advantage, niche specialisation and freer trade of the recent past.
The current shock felt by most economies also is the result from perhaps over relying on the Usa to continue buying from them. The Usa has long ago given up its own capability to manufacture many things - although it still holds an advantage in making pharmaceuticals, IT related retail products, commercial aircraft, military arnaments and agricultural produce - items that Singapore precisely require.
Singapore's pillars of growth, until the cloud of current uncertainty clears, lie exposed if human civilisation sinks into convulated trade wars.
If nations outside the Usa take this opportunity to increase trading links amongst themselves, Trump can find himself increasingly isolated. The reality is that the world has generally put its risks and growth parameters overly on the Usa - and the quake has arrived.
I have to remind myself that the Usa economy also requires things from other nations - they are not self sufficent. The Usa overspends in retail consumption and consistently is in debt, not only in government operations, but also because other national governments and non Usa imvestors are willng to finance that debt.
What does the Usa need from.Singapore?
Maybe more in non trading matters - a military base or partner, a supporter of sea routes that the Usa utilises for various reasons, a supplier of high tech components?
#yongkevthoughts
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